The devastating floods that have once again submerged vast swathes of the country underscore the brutal paradox facing the government — climate catastrophes are intensifying, but the exchequer is increasingly ill-equipped to respond due to the weight of austerity and debt. With a mini-budget now on the cards to address the massive costs of disaster response, the government must come up with a way to ensure that short-term disaster response financing measures do not lead to further human suffering through development budget cuts and failure to invest in the future.
Pakistan's existing economic vulnerabilities are stark, as almost half of the budget is already dedicated to debt servicing, and non-development expenses such as pensions take up another large share, leaving scant resources for development or disaster relief. Only 1% of the budget is available for disaster management, an amount that would not even cover the response cost for one localised disaster event. It has also not helped that after years of relatively responsible management, defence spending needed to be increased significantly due to additional costs associated with the conflict with India.
The recent floods have exposed the financial risk of not planning for disasters, especially now that once-in-a-century floods have become an almost annual occurrence, and paying for unbudgeted disaster relief becomes a toss-up between begging the world and squeezing citizens through additional taxes. While a mini-budget is a foregone conclusion at this stage, in future years, the country's financial planners need to incorporate disaster resilience into the budget in ways that ensure development spending remains unaffected. Ultimately, Pakistan's stability depends on recognising that economic security and climate security are inseparable. Without this, the cycle of disasters and debt will continue to erode the nation's future.
